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NAVIENT CORP (NAVI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 GAAP net loss was $86M (-$0.87 diluted EPS) and Core Earnings net loss was $83M (-$0.84 diluted EPS); results were driven by a $168M provision for loan losses and lower other income following business divestitures .
- Management highlighted significant non-GAAP “significant items” and said adjusted Core EPS would have been $0.29, and guided Q4 EPS to $0.30–$0.35 while reaffirming FY EPS guidance of $1.00–$1.20 .
- Earnest originations continued strong momentum: $788M private education loans in Q3 (+58% YoY), with refinance originations of $528M and in-school originations of $260M .
- Capital actions: announced new $100M share repurchase authorization (with ~$26M prior authorization remaining) and maintained the quarterly dividend at $0.16 (Q4 payout approved Nov 12) .
- Credit remained the key headwind: consumer lending provision of $155M and elevated delinquency balances, partially offset by a net $11M benefit to net interest income from lower prepayment assumptions; FFELP prepayments fell sharply to $268M vs $1.0B in Q3’24 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Our third quarter results emphatically demonstrate our ability to drive high-quality loan growth… We will exceed our ambitious multi-year expense reduction targets on an accelerated timeline” — CEO David Yowan (Ex-99.2 press release) .
- Earnest originations doubled YoY for the third straight quarter; Q3 private education loan originations were $788M (+58% YoY), including $528M refinance and $260M in-school volumes .
- Operating expenses declined materially YoY following business divestitures and servicing outsourcing; Q3 operating expenses were $105M, down from $184M in Q3’24 .
What Went Wrong
- Consumer Lending segment posted a net loss of $76M due to a $155M provision (including $138M primarily from elevated delinquency balances and macro outlook) and higher net charge-offs ($95M vs $74M in Q3’24) .
- Consolidated other income fell as business processing revenues and a prior-year $219M gain on sale of the healthcare business were absent, compressing total other income to $19M vs $276M in Q3’24 .
- Delinquencies remained elevated: Private Education Loans >90 days delinquent were 2.8% (433M) vs 2.4% (377M) in Q3’24; FFELP >90-day delinquency rate rose to 10.5% vs 7.3% in Q3’24 .
Financial Results
Consolidated Results vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Q3 2025 actual EPS vs consensus: -$0.84 Core EPS vs $0.18 consensus (miss). Revenue actual vs consensus: reported “Revenue Consensus Mean” $140.0MM vs actual -$7MM (miss)*. Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Core Earnings basis)
Key Credit and Portfolio KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We are winning new customers – primarily graduate students – by offering flexible products and a customer experience that meets their needs… We will exceed our ambitious multi-year expense reduction targets on an accelerated timeline” .
- CFO: “In the third quarter, we reported core loss per share of $0.84. Adjusting for significant items, we earned $0.29 per share… first, provision of $168 million… second, an interest income benefit of $11 million… third, regulatory and restructuring expenses of $5 million” .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance clarification: Management guided Q4 EPS to $0.30–$0.35 and reaffirmed FY EPS $1.00–$1.20, framing Q3’s adjusted Core EPS at $0.29 after significant items .
- Origination outlook: Earnest refi and in-school momentum expected to continue; credit quality described as “exceptionally high” for refi originations .
- Cost trajectory: Completion of final TSA enables elimination of $14M of remaining TSA-support expenses and further footprint reductions in early 2026 .
- Funding: Continued utilization of ABS securitizations to finance asset growth; ended Q3 with $5.3B unsecured debt outstanding and 81% of total education loans funded to term (per presentation) .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Q3 2025 Primary EPS consensus $0.18 vs actual Core EPS -$0.84 (miss). Q4 2025 EPS consensus $0.31 aligns with guidance midpoint $0.325, suggesting limited near-term estimate risk if credit trends stabilize. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Revenue: Q3 2025 consensus $140.0MM vs actual -$7MM (miss); for financials with significant provisions and non-interest income volatility, consensus “revenue” can diverge from reported components. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Where estimates may adjust: Analysts likely to revisit credit cost assumptions (delinquency/charge-off trajectory) and prepayment speed sensitivities given outsized Q3 provision and lower premium amortization .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Credit costs are the primary swing factor: $155M consumer lending provision and elevated delinquencies drove the quarter; watch delinquency trend and net charge-off rates for normalization .
- Structural cost improvements are material: completion of TSA obligations accelerates expense removal; OpEx down ~43% YoY in Q3, supporting medium-term margin resilience .
- Origination flywheel is strengthening: Earnest volumes broaden with strong refi and record in-school peak-season volumes; management raised FY origination outlook to
$2.4B (supporting future NII) **[https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NAVI/earnings/NAVI-Q3-2025-earnings_call-368719.html#::text=Navient%20reported%20Q3%202025%20core]**. - Capital returns remain active: New $100M buyback and continued dividend ($0.16) provide support while maintaining ABS issuance and liquidity buffers .
- EPS path: Adjusted Core EPS of $0.29 and Q4 guidance $0.30–$0.35 frame a near-term recovery trajectory; however, estimates hinge on credit normalization and prepayment dynamics .
- Monitor FFELP prepayments: The sharp decline vs prior year is supportive to NIM via lower premium amortization; sustained low prepayments could continue to benefit NII .
- Trading setup: Post-miss, improvement in forward EPS/guidance and capital return authorizations may act as catalysts; risk remains around consumer credit quality and macro sensitivity to rates (prepayments and derivatives) .
Notes: Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.